Odisha yields BJP 78 out of 147 seats. Naveen Patnaik succumbs to BJP, after 25 years of being CM. He could retain his seat. Andhra Pradesh is a complete rout of YSRCP 11/175. Jagan retained his seat incidentally. Chandra Babu is swept back home with a historic bang. Their alliance partners, Janasena won all 21 seats it contested; BJP could win 8/10. Congress could get no seat. NCBN will take charge as Chief Minister on 9 June, probably in the presence of Narendra Modi. Most opinion and exit polls went wrong for these two states. With these, Arunachal and Sikkim results included – BJP is/would be in power in 13 states directly, and 6 more through partners.
Lok Sabha: NDA/BJP barely managed to retain majority losing 63 seats – 293/543. BJP’s tally is 240. It is 14 less than my intuitive guesstimate. Partners got 8 more than my guestimate, largely because of TDP in AP. Overall, It is not 400-paar, it is not even 300-paar. INDIA gives a tug-of-war fight; might not have crossed the magic mark, but it has emerged as a worthy and significant challenger. It would have taken the mandate if ‘Rama had not come in’. It is interesting to note – Ayodhya has gone to Samajwadi. UK, HP, MP, Delhi, and Tripura in toto, and Gujarat, Odisha, Chhattisgarh mostly have gone to BJP. TN remained fully with INDIA. Reversed expectations for NDA in UP, Maharashtra, West Bengal, and Punjab. Majority seats in Bihar, Karnataka, and Rajasthan. Haryana has split equally. NDA Overall 293/543: South including Goa, Maharashtra, Puducherry, and Lakshadweep, A&N – 69/182; Gujarat, Rajasthan, MP, and DDD – 69/82; East – Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, and West Bengal – 51/88; UP, Bihar, and Delhi – 73/127; Northwest – 16/39; North-east – 15/25. If 2-3 smaller formations move out, the government formation can get into jeopardy now, or later it can destabilize the government. As a result, day-to-day pulls and pushes may work on the government and governance. Let us see.
Given this, our work is cut out for the next 5 years. It has to start as soon as possible. The new plans should be operational, at least, from this Independence Day. India’s long-term Amrt Kaal plan and the next five-year plans need to be unravelled, and steps to be initiated for implementing the same with utmost sincerity; the progress needs to be tracked, and corrected. Also, the engagement with the communities, stakeholders, etc., has to begin on the other side. We have to understand that there will be a delimitation exercise of reorganizing constituencies. Ground forces, strategic teams, and rearticulated strategies-approaches for vision, and tools-tactics have to be nurtured for operations. A million hands on the ground. 10,000 ground teams. 100 strategic support units, 10 strategic thematic units, a strong change integration team, and coalition(s). And support them. All these need to be developed – geometric progression. Intensely. Conceptually sound. Deep research. Assessments, plans, processes. Penetrative programs, walks et al. Can we front-end 100, and wherewithal? Can we get going?
Can we invest the first 100 days to support developing, fine-tuning the 5-year plans, positioning, integrating leaders, and working with them, and nurturing teams? Can these 100 days also take natural farming, living forward? Can the budgets for these plans come? Can the initial coalitions, consortiums, networks, forums, and platforms take off? Outlines, anchors identified to work with? Can we?
Yes, we can. If we coexist, co-visualize, re-purpose our flows. In N? In saakaaryoga for 7L.
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